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Projects
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Managing the Unmanageable: Strategic Tools for Quantifying Tail Risk
Patrick Lefler 1/6/26 Patrick Lefler 1/6/26

Managing the Unmanageable: Strategic Tools for Quantifying Tail Risk

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The Trap of the Bell Curve: Why Your Risk Models Are Lying to You
Patrick Lefler 1/1/26 Patrick Lefler 1/1/26

The Trap of the Bell Curve: Why Your Risk Models Are Lying to You

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Beyond VaR: Expected Shortfall as the New Standard for Strategic Resilience
Patrick Lefler 9/30/25 Patrick Lefler 9/30/25

Beyond VaR: Expected Shortfall as the New Standard for Strategic Resilience

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The Problem with “Normal” Thinking: A Primer on Extreme Value Theory
Patrick Lefler 8/19/25 Patrick Lefler 8/19/25

The Problem with “Normal” Thinking: A Primer on Extreme Value Theory

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